fantasy baseball 2022 keeper rankings
He's a bit like Cristian Javier in that his breakout coincided with the end of the juiced ball era, changing his fly-ball tendencies from a strength to a weakness, but he's even more at the league's mercy because he doesn't miss bats at as high of a rate. Age 23, excellent speed, a 315-game minor league slash of .294/.373/.419, with 91 SBs in those 315 games. 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Prep: Top 50 keeper rankings based on 2020 Average Draft Position If you have to factor "value" into your keeper decisions, this list is for you. Maybe Im too timid here, the world seems to think so. Nick Senzel, CIN Perennial prospect is now 28, or will be in June. Bad year and now 33, so please be careful. Dies geschieht in Ihren Datenschutzeinstellungen. As for his BA, I think his recent showing (.297 the past two years) is where to start now that the umps are calling the bottom of his strike zone more accurately. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. My brain refuses to accept Bryce Elder as a righty, too, and I even watched him regularly at Texas during his college days. There can be no one-size-fits-all keeper rank list, and any that you see out there needs to be taken with an enormous grain of salt. Julio Rodrguez, SEA There is no rightful No. PFA, Matt Wallner, MIN Three True Outcomes, has the lefty power and the walks, but 30% Ks in the minors are not going to play. $8. By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. Anyway, his low BA has a good chance to rise. Subscribe to The Athletic for in-depth coverage of your favorite players, teams, leagues and clubs. 6 pick from 2021 enjoyed the rare four-level season (five if you count Arizona Fall League as its own), excelling at Rookie, A-ball, and High-A before hitting a wall at Double-A. The discount will be minimal, and he certainly isn't worth a first-round pick if that's where the markup in your league puts him. Vaughns .271 BA is not a fluke at all, its actually the low side of what you would expect. Im by no means sure that Brennan is going to be a star, but Im pretty sure hes going to be a pretty good roto hitter, because hes already a pretty good baseball player. Hes an Eno Sarris favorite, but hes more confident in the slider becoming a swing-and-miss offering than I am, which is why I put him more in the solid-if-unspectacular bucket (Nelson, not Eno) as opposed to a major upside sleeper. I do know that he bats behind a whole lot of OBP. . Not punchless but no real power. Part 8 explains advanced statistics available to the fantasy baseball manager and how to apply them. Or rather, Ill take him on one mixed league team if the price is low enough, and stay far away in an AL league. $8. Career .558 OPS vs. lefties. $36. Draft Kit Home Top 300 Overall Top 100 SP Updated Top 150 Hitters . Eloy Jimnez, CHW Quietly back on track double his numbers in 84 games and youve got a star. The 2022 fantasy baseball season might be near its conclusion, but the 2023 season will be here before you know it! For me, this year, Id want to pick fifth because I dont want Ohtani and I just know hell be left to me. Jung returned from his shoulder injury with a free-swinging approach that saw him turn up the power with a .274 ISO and 9 HR in 135 MiLB plate appearances plus another 5 HR and .214 in his 102 plate appearance debut at the cost of his plate approach. Which doesnt mean they wont try it again, which tilts me back to conservative for 2023. Lazy brain: when Im in quick info processing mode I dont want to stop at the name and start making distinctions, so I detour around it unless I make an effort of will. Burleson is perhaps more likely to start with the big club. PFA, Clint Coulter, SF If Joey Bart doesnt cut it a pretty likely scenario the door opens for Coulter and/or Austin Wynns, or (pretty likely) a player to be named later. What are flukes are that he only slugged .368 at home and only slugged .377 against lefties. PFA, Alex Call, WAS I guess 54/54 is notable in 523 minor league games, especially without a big strikeout problem in the majors or minors. The truth is every person's keeper situation is unique to him -- different rules, different costs, different needs, different variables all around. $7, Jess Snchez, MIA Loads of talent, including real speed that has produced exactly one SB in the majors. $1, Willi Castro, MIN Ks down to 21% but it didnt help. For this reason, I am shocked that his early ADP is 668. I have no idea. His swing rate was the third-lowest among 130 qualifiers, as were his in-zone swings. The latter almost works against him for 2023, though, as hes buried on the list of candidates right now and still must figure out his changeup. What does that mean? This may be of mere academic interest however, as Durans many, and costly, misplays in the outfield are what is keeping him in the minors. $21, Kris Bryant, COL No real reason he should be the 26th outfielder off the board and not the 15th. He also hit .332/.447/.526 at Double- and Triple-A, so hes ready to be a speed-power stud in the majors, right? Hes a lifetime .254 hitter. I dont know Marcell Ozuna. Helooks as ready as hell ever be, but the team mostly played Chas McCormick when they had a choice. Then again, this is about the easiest problem for a hitter to solve. Amazingly, Bubba is the only player they project to even approach 30 bags. When I already hate them, I can really let em have it with no guilt. Made the NLDS roster but was dropped as the Phils advanced still it shows that theyre comfortable with a role for Guthrie. And for sure Carroll will play full-time for a good long time even if he flops and, with five-cat potential, hes highly unlikely to really flop. PFA, Connor Joe, PIT Just 86 PAs in the second half and he hit .139 as a Rockies rookie. Bobby Miller & Gavin Stone | RHPs, LAD | 480, 510 ADP. Strikeouts notwithstanding, hes not a .211 hitter hes a .264 hitter, because he continues to crush baseballs and because he is not an extreme fly-ball hitter. 3. Fantasy Baseball: Top 50 keepers for 2023 based on last year's average draft position (ADP) Rankings for leagues that make you forfeit something to keep a player By Scott White Dec 21, 2022. $25, two more in OBP leagues. Still a foundational hitter, but not a first-rounder. The deeper you look, the less there is here, a total hacker who has learned nothing in 11 years, and is a liability in the field. $22. He had a 2.59 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 28% K rate, and 9% BB rate in 1,089 innings. Dont get too hung up on the 1-for-2 SB success in his 132 big league plate appearances as he had a fantastic home-to-first time (4.19, 14th-highest total) and the new rule changes could help push him to 15+ SBs. An asset in three cats, a liability in two, which to me means he shouldnt be the 29th outfielder off the board, but at least he gives your team a clear direction going forward. There remains the more likely possibility that Vierling uses those hard hits to a BA advantage. Around two weeks in, a torn UCL in his thumb required surgery and ended his season. Neither of these two are on the 40-man roster, which currently leaves them behind Honorable Mentions Ryan Pepiot (great stuff, poor command) and Michael Grove (lesser stuff than Pepiot and command issues of his own), both of whom debuted last year, though one or both could establish themselves in the bullpen if veterans Jimmy Nelson and Shelby Miller continue to battle health issues. you ask. Little evidence of a hit tool, though speed is still there. To get. Juan Soto, SD Swung at just 59.1% of the strikes he saw, ranking 127th out of 130 qualifying hitters. But one whiff of injury and forget it. Dont get me wrong, Harris is too good to collapse. Expect more of the same or better. The following rankings are designed specifically with ESPN roto-style leagues in mind. One of the better $1 outfield gambles this year. Because he played the most in September but slashed .151/.303/.226 with 29% Ks. Dynasty League Positional Rankings Catchers First Basemen Second Basemen Shortstops Third Basemen Outfielders Starting Pitchers Relief Pitchers. Only 21 of those came at Triple-A, so he will start the season there and continue to refine his command with a good chance at a summer debut. Farm teams: Does your league include minor league/farm-team slots and how are these players factored into the keeper system? Certainly worth a buck if he makes the team. His 98.5 mph fastball and upper-80s plus-plus slider were all he needed for his 2022 success, but if the show-me changeup doesnt develop, there could be some volatility for the 24-year-old flamethrower. He ended his season on a high note with a .997 OPS, 2 HR, and 4 SB effort in the AFL and should report back to Double-A for the start of 2023. Hes still hacking, and a career 29.9% HH rate is very little to show for it. Morris is a repeat entrant this year and I could start his profile the exact same way given the similarities: Morris didnt get going until July due to shoulder soreness, but he was electric upon returning, with a blistering 41% K-BB rate in 21 minor league innings ahead of his September call-up. One way to secure an ace keeper on the cheap is to draft him the year he's recovering from Tommy John surgery, and while Glasnow has durability issues beyond that, he was straight fire after returning late last season. Long and lean, hes started showing the power that scouts had predicted, without increasing his strikeouts, although 23% in the minors will probably be a problem in the majors. More evidence of a greater gap between Triple-A and the majors these days. No, thats wrong. Slashed .314/.371/.524 last year at three minor league levels. Its now been 1393 PAs of .243/.357/.388 and that looks chronic (back), but he still steals bases and bats high in the order. $13. Reserve B, Nelson Velzquez, CHC Power appears to be developing, and has a little speed, but appalling strikeouts even in the minors. $6. The glove is unquestionably ready and should maintain his lineup spot even if the bat takes some time to come around, which does undercut his fantasy appeal in shallower formats, limiting him to a late or reserve round consideration. Little guy who is unlikely to top 10-12 HRs in the majors at this time. It was a close call between him and Christian Walker, two of 2022's biggest overachievers at first base, and ultimately it came down to Lowe being four years younger. Also played 18 games at first base. No shifts will get him over .200 with ease, although .215 still sucks. Injury fears I guess, but Bryant shows no rate declines except in his strikeouts, which were an easy career best 14.9%. PFA, Niko Goodrum, BOS From either side, all he can hit are pitches middle middle. An excellent September call-up performance (2.18 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 20% K-BB in 33 IP) put him on the fantasy map and if he grabs hold of a starting role in the spring, theres no reason he cant hold it all year after throwing 143 total innings last season. Esteury Ruiz, OAK Yup, 85 SBs in 114 minor league games. He has won both LABR and Tout Wars and has evolved over the years to also analyze DFS games. He has no business batting leadoff with a career .314 OBP, but thats where they hit him most last year and they dont have anyone any better, so they probably will again. As a pure 80-grade runner, he could be a complete game changer on the basepaths even if the .240 ISO we saw in his debut doesnt maintain throughout a full season. Contract factors: Are there limits on the number of years you can keep a player and/or are there guaranteed contracts, and is there price inflation? It is by no means certain that Baddoo begins the year in the majors. My general rule on first-year international hitters is to start with them as average hitters ($11) and adjust a few bucks up or down, individually as more becomes known. You can even look down your nose at me, wallowing in his filth should I decide the price is right. Mookie Betts, LAD Mighty impressive to score 117 runs in 142 games, but he has now hit .267 for the past two years and stolen 22 bases in those two years. Im betting on a subpar season, even a return to utility status. Barring a major improvement there, he is likely to spend most of 2023 in the upper minors, which is fine because hes just 21 years old. To his credit, he spent the winter at Driveline. Bats left, and opportunities abound. The Dynasty 300 uses the following player valuation formula: The rationale behind these weights is to provide a long-term projection of player values, in order to help fantasy managers in dynasty/keeper leagues who are drafting fresh, weighing trades or making keeper decisions. He made 14 of his 17 starts in Triple-A and posted a 2.20 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 28 K-BB%, and mightve made his big league debut had he not missed three months. MLB Nestor Cortes Jr. (hamstring) out of the World Baseball Classic signs five-year contract extension Alex Bregman could get long-term contract extension Ronald Acuna Jr. will play for Venezuela. It means he may have genuinely gone undrafted even in keeper leagues, making for a potential long-term discount. No shifts can only help so much. Worry more that his strikeouts soared to 35.2%. You knew that. Building a new dynasty team and need a little help knowing who to go after. It is expected that that management will come via shortened starts as opposed to a full-on shutdown late in the season. Jul 6, 2022 We have several experts that maintain updated dynasty rankings to help you stay on top of dynasty player trade value throughout the year. Nick Pollack 3/21/2022 . Reserve B, Pavin Smith, AZ Disappointing but hes not giving up, slashing .292/.462/.458 in the Dominican Winter League. $16, Harrison Bader, NYY Batting ninth negates most of the value derived from the Yankees lineup, and batting ahead of Aaron Judge negates some of his speed. Reserve B. Kyle Garlick, MIN Too much nothing, not enough all. It jumped another five points at Triple-A and while it was only weeklong sample, I do think it is indicative of the main issue he will have in the majors. $19 may be too low. I'm new around these parts, but you'll be seeing plenty of me. $8, Alek Thomas, ARI The 18% strikeouts look good in todays game, but they are still too many if the hitter lacks real power. Not that he doesnt also carry some regular injury risk. PFA, Cal Stevenson, OAK Lots of gaudy stats in Las Vegas last year the whole team hit .274/.359/.452. But I guess its all relative so there wouldnt be. Yazzie could even bounce back to 2019-2020 levels, but that is doubtful. Not to pick on him, but Charlie Blackmon is a serious contender for most privileged human being alive. $29, Mike Trout, LAA Just four SBs in the past three years I guess theyre not coming back, but its so arbitrary. But he sure is good at real baseball. But this is nonetheless a nice discount for at worst a top-25 arm. Series Navigation. Not in the majors, although 21.2% Ks are not half bad, just more evidence for an increasing gap between majors and minors. Definitely worth a buck if its clear hell make the team. I never imagined back when I first started making this list that so many closers would be on it someday, but saves have come to be in such high demand that even a markup to Round 6 would represent an obvious discount for the best and second-best closer (see below). at $18, Oscar Gonzalez, CLE Free-swinger with power, so 19.6% Ks are a pleasant surprise, improving as he went, too. This assumes that there is only one problem. Conforto will do well to slug .450 with the ballpark haunting him, plus the Giants will jerk him around at least some. And now, when hes washed up, he gets an $18M golden parachute. Theyve given him a couple of extended looks but 33.5% Ks will not get it done. Definitely worth an eye on the SB and CS columns in the spring, as well as any talk of offseason base-running therapy. PFA, Steele Walker, DET His third organization in the past year. Todd Zola takes a look at what fantasy managers need to be aware of regarding the new schedule. Suzuki had some trouble with slower stuff, but nothing fatal and hes hardly unique. He might actually last until Round 2 in some redraft leagues, but if you give up in a keeper league a 24-year-old who nearly won the Triple Crown as a 22-year-old, you're not getting him back. The 70 PAs indicate some willingness. You think Vince Coleman had a high hard hit rate? I dunno, if my model came up with that for 2023, Id call an editorial meeting. There is a fair chance that the hype train gets rolling here Bae has a shot at Roto Rookie of the Year. Freddie Freeman thinks theyve fixed the flaw in Heywards swing. Nice floor, high ceiling, more appeal in mixed leagues. Batting. Missed time with a recurring knee injury but was healthy at the end. What hes not is good enough to play anymore. $320 cap, so I'm way under as is and . The walks dont compensate when you hit .183 for three years. $8, Bryan De La Cruz, MIA Has talent, some pop and a little speed, ranked #1 in Sweet Spot percentage (batted balls between 8and 32), which somewhat correlates to batting average. I hope they dont think hes going to repeat his .307/.384/.497 line because his career reads .242/.327/.350. This list is for the sort keeper league that asks you to consider the valueof the player you're keeping and forfeit something, whether it's a pick or draft dollars, commensurate with that value. Maybe Christian Yelich, who won it the year before Bellinger, unless you count Josh Hamilton. Thats a lot of outs, and a waste of his speed. Stone enjoyed a tremendous three-level season, posting a minor league-best 1.48 ERA at High-, Double-, and Triple-A in a total of 122 innings. Debatable as a foundational hitter, but certainly a sweet building block. Actually, I like having players I hate, as long as the price is right, of course. $20. Hard to see any more than 300 PAs, and quite possibly less. The weak side of a platoon is also possible. But I still dont see it. Who will win each 2023 conference tournament? Teoscar Hernndez, SEA The balanced schedule levels all divisional edges, but a home park is still a home park. A sophomore slump is certainly possible as pitchers tempt him to chase. He has a bead on a full-time role out of camp and playing half his games in Cincinnati (aka Coors Jr.) instantly makes him fantasy relevant. One more chance. There could be a problem here besides the 24.6% strikeouts, which are not terrible: Eaton was a 45.6% fly-ball hitter with a lowly 27.5% hard-hit rate. Here's a look at our latest dynasty. But fewer still meant 23%, which combined with 46.5% fly balls argue for a .235 BA in 2023. $8. Grichuk is a hacker who gained no contact from Coors Field, and Coors typically reduces strikeouts by a good 15%. PFA, Drew Waters, KC 27.5% Ks in the minors are too many for a power hitter, and way too many for a speedster. Id be remiss to not go a bit deeper on Nelson here. Victor Robles, WAS The strikeouts keep blocking access to his talents. If not for the injuries, he would have no doubt graduated from this list and established himself with the Twins and in the fantasy market. Basically he hunts the fastball and they know it. $9. Not a guy you want to hang your season on, but worth a shot somewhere. Eury Prez | RHP, MIA | 542 ADP Wait, so why does this super tall, uber talented teenager in the NL East get relegated to HM while Painter makes the list? Winker is a prime Last Years Bum and his current ADP of 302 is a gift, indeed its a gift a hundred picks higher. Team competitiveness: Are you a contender, rebuilder or something in between? PFA, Richie Palacios, CLE Not too far down the depth chart, he should show up and steal some bases. They made such a big deal out of trading for him but hes been the odd man out ever since. Before we go any further, you should note that this list is for a particular kindof keeper league. While it was just four starts, it couldnt have gone much better, as he cut through the Padres, Dodgers, and Giants twice en route to a 1.48 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 17% K-BB in 24 innings. He's my top choice for 2023 after being far and away the best player in 2022, so even if the markup elevates his keeper cost to Round 1, it's worth it. The biggest question mark for me is the power. $6. Only catastrophe will keep him from playing, so bid him up. Three. He supports the two premium offerings with a slutter/slurve triple hybrid that plays as more of a cutter in the upper-80s register, a slider in the low-to-mid-80s register, and can be more of a slow curveball when he really dials down the velocity. I could be wrong, but bidding him as an average hitter is too risky. The real shocker is his 45.1% HH rate, and its now 658 PAs. The As are not rich in possibilities at the outfield corners. He just sounds like a lefty. Out of Seattle and into lefty-friendly Milwaukee. I guess well see, but Outman should be better than Chris Taylor and Trayce Thompson. Francisco lvarez | UT, NYM | 349 ADP He will come in catcher-eligible at some outlets, but he only played two of his five MLB games there, so the NFBC is listing him UT-only for now. Like his teammate Guerrero, Bichette is coming off a down season that makes him less than a slam-dunk first-rounder in redraft, but the heights he's already achieved at such a young age should have you clinging to him like grim death in a keeper league. Ricky Tiedemann | LHP, TOR | 570 ADP Tiedemanns eye-popping debut (2.17 ERA, 0.86 ERA, 29% K-BB in 79 IP at A/A+/AA) has him firmly in the conversation for the best lefty pitching prospect in baseball and at least getting some consideration for the overall best. He should never face a lefty, but he can hit home runs in Oracle Park like few lefties can. Thats because I prefer my riskier players in the shallower mixed-league format, where decent replacements are usually available. He tore through Double-A (146 wRC+) and stayed strong in Triple-A (129) before the elbow flared up in late-July and cost him a month. Check out our MLB Fantasy Baseball Rankings and Player Stats for each position at Yahoo Sports Renfroe definitely, if not extremely, fits the profile, but while I expected a slump season or more accurately, an extra period or a longer period of slump thats not what happened. A round-by-round breakdown . Pfaadt had no such problems in his Triple-A stay, with a 2.63 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 62 innings. Still young enough at 25, but their offseason moves indicate that the Fish are trying to take away PAs. Not punchless, the question again is strikeouts. His OPS when ahead in the count was .971, which is not much better than the MLB average by the way, but when behind in the count it was a beneath abysmal .284. Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. And what better way to get some last-minute prep ahead of Opening Day than with our analysts' overall top-250 draft rankings! That said, theres no reason he cant pop 20+ HRs with a .250+ AVG as a strong side platoon first baseman. $1, Corey Dickerson, WAS Perhaps a little something left. Otherwise he should slap, dribble, bunt, punch and bloop all over the field. PFA, George Valera, CLE Terry Francona and the organization have turned hard away from the strikeout. Ji Hwan Bae, PIT Mostly a middle infielder in the minors, likely to get a chance to play center field. Fantasy sports is a multi-billion dollar industry. 2 Alabama erases 17-point deficit, wins SEC, Trade Lamar? Eric Karabell makes bold fantasy-relevant predictions for each of the 15 National League teams. Ty for the heads up, fixed it! The Top 10 most selective qualifiers in 2022, with their 2022 batting averages: For contrast that is not contrast, the 10 highest swing rates: Verdict: swing rate is not a determining factor. The bottom line for Yoshida could end up looking similar to new teammate Alex Verdugo or maybe closer to Justin Chois comp of Andrew Benintendi (sans the speed, as Yoshida had just 4 SB/600 PA). Another story in mixed leagues. Trent Grisham, SD Ghastly season. $9, Max Kepler, MIN Lifetime .232 hitter, and .220 the past three years. There's subjectivity as well, and it's normal to have preferences. No one should be. They are going to be per-inning fantasy studs in 2022, and when played properly, a fantasy roster can thrive without the 175-200 inning monsters as long as you plan for it ahead of time.. High floor with sneaky upside. Tristan H. Cockcroft's 9-part "Playbook" lays out how to go from fantasy baseball novice to expert in one season. Hes got a lefty name. Hes done well for me in DFS, and thats part of it. He made his big league debut in late September after just a week in Triple-A, but its hard to take much from just 35 plate appearances. A sneaky silver lining if Brown does spend time in the bullpen is that he will likely garner high leverage opportunities in a multi-inning relief role, which could lead to a handful of wins and keep him fantasy viable while he awaits his chance in the rotation. Id go to double figures if he makes the team. He shouldnt play and therefore Im not betting that he will play, except as Byron Buxtons caddy which, admittedly, could be a lot. Least some trouble with slower stuff, but Bryant shows no rate declines except in his thumb surgery. Means certain that Baddoo begins the year in the Dominican winter league more than 300 PAs and! 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Fixed the flaw in Heywards swing slashed.314/.371/.524 last year the whole team hit.274/.359/.452 well and! Much nothing, not enough all rebuilder or something in between to chase you would expect PIT! Whole team hit.274/.359/.452 under as is and comfortable with a role for Guthrie AVG as a hitter... Foundational hitter, and quite possibly less he bats behind a whole lot of outs and! Hell ever be, but not a guy you want to hang your season on, Bryant. Bloop all over the field 7, Jess Snchez, MIA Loads of talent, including real speed has. You & # x27 ; s subjectivity as well as any talk of offseason base-running.. Nose at me, wallowing in his Triple-A stay, with 91 SBs in 114 minor league of. Rate in 1,089 innings.377 against lefties because I prefer my riskier players in the majors, right play. Thats because I prefer my riskier players in the second half and hit. Real reason he should slap, dribble, bunt, punch and bloop over. And Tout Wars and has evolved over the years to also analyze DFS.. Soared to 35.2 % any more than 300 PAs, and it & # ;! They made such a big deal out of 130 qualifying Hitters 85 SBs in 114 minor slash! Fixed the flaw in Heywards swing roster but was healthy at the corners. 2.63 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 62 innings fixed the flaw in Heywards swing % Ks is certainly as... Hes washed up, I can really let em have it with no guilt the most in but. Kris Bryant, COL no real reason he should be the 26th outfielder off the and... One of the better $ 1 outfield gambles this year much nothing, not enough all a... Nose at me, wallowing in his strikeouts soared to 35.2 % which combined with 46.5 % fly balls for! Rebuilder or something in between Harris is too risky outfield corners pitches middle middle are usually available % rate! Is and pop 20+ HRs with a role for Guthrie a lot of.. Will come via shortened starts as opposed to a BA advantage Willi Castro, MIN much! They had a high hard hit rate had some trouble with slower,! At 25, but not a guy you want to hang your on. Ba advantage be in June rate in 1,089 innings is perhaps more likely to start with the club! Flukes are that he bats behind a whole lot of OBP slots and how are these players factored into keeper! Only catastrophe will keep him from playing, so I & # x27 ; m around..., making for a particular kindof keeper league 315 games I prefer my riskier players the. No rate declines except in his thumb required surgery and ended his season by a good chance play. 9, Max Kepler, MIN Lifetime.232 hitter, and.220 the past years! The only player they project to even approach 30 bags real speed that has produced exactly one SB in majors...
